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Working Papers

2015Mar
Data graphs

George Kudrna, Chung Tran and Alan Woodland

In this paper, we develop a small open economy, overlapping generations model that incorporates non-stationary demographic transition paths to study the dynamic fiscal effects of demographic shift in Australia.

2015Mar
Aged care support

Adam W. Shao, Michael Sherris and Joelle H. Fong

This paper presents a comprehensive assessment of premiums, reserves and solvency capital requirements for long-term care (LTC) insurance policies using Activities of Daily Living (ADLs) and U.S. data.

2015Mar
Aged care analysis

Severine Arnold and Michael Sherris

This paper applies cointegration techniques, developed in econometrics to model long-run relationships, to cause-of-death data. We analyze the five main causes of death across five major countries, including USA, Japan, France, England & Wales and Australia.

2015Feb
Middle aged man researching online

Yang Chang and Michael Sherris

Existing longevity indices commonly use age-based mortality rates or period life expectancy. We propose an alternative cohort-based value index for insurers and pension funds to manage longevity risk.

2015Feb
Elderly couple enjoying life

Ermanno Pitacco

Long-term care insurance (LTCI) covers are rather recent products, in the framework of health insurance. It follows that specific biometric data are scanty, and pricing problems then arise because of difficulties in the choice of appropriate technical bases.

2015Jan
Financial prosperity

Daniel Alai, Zinoviy Landsman and Michael Sherris

We generalize model calibration for a multivariate Tweedie distribution to allow for censored observations; estimation is based on the method of moments. The multivariate Tweedie distribution we consider incorporates dependence in a pool of lives via a common stochastic component.

2015Jan
Middle aged couple researching online

Heather Booth, Pilar Rioseco and Heather Crawford

This study examines the SN-SRH association through cross-cutting analyses of four demographically-defined groups (Males, Females, Partnered, Unpartnered) and three networks (Family, Friend, Group).

2014Dec
Research colleagues

Rafal Chomik and John Piggott

We briefly compare the Australian and US economies and demographies, and then describe the Australian arrangements and assess its economic efficiency and efficacy in delivering retirement support.

2014Dec
Happy elderly couple

Rafal Chomik and John Piggott

This chapter sets the context for the rest of the volume. The focus is mostly on countries in East and South-East Asia, but it includes contrasting comparisons to key regional countries such as India and Australia.